Saturday, June 7, 2014

Ranking NHL General Mangers on First Round Draft Picks over 2005-2009 [Today: The Worst!]

For analysis details, see yesterday's post

THE WORST GMS OVER THIS TIME PERIOD

01. DOUG RISEBROUGH, Minnesota: At a staggering 0% success rate, Risebrough would probably take this cake anyways, but the fact that he had four first rounders over this time period at an average pick of #13 really seals the deal. Benoit Pouliot is the best of a bad bunch taken #4 in 2005 and maybe finally making a name for himself in the NHL after being discarded by 4 other NHL teams. James Sheppard at #9 is another NHL player, but relative to where he was drafted, he's been a disappointment. And those are Risebrough's BEST picks. Colton Gillies at #16 in 2007 busted badly, he played on an AHL contract this past season. And Tyler Cuma at #23 looks like another bust as he's never been able to overcome injuries to play more than 1 game at the NHL level. If this analysis stretched back one more year, it wouldn't help Risebrough as he took AJ Thelen 12th overall in 2004.

02. LOU LAMIORELLIO, New Jersey: Lamoriello also posted a 0% Boom Rate, but at least one has to give him a bit of a pass as he never chose higher than 20th in this range. Still, it didn't go well. Jacob Josefsen was the best pick of the bunch, the same Josefsen who's still struggling to make it at the NHL leve (27 GP this past season). Three of his four first rounders were from Sweden, and not one of them really panned out (Mattias Tedenby and Nicklas Bergfors being the others).

03. PETE CHIARELLI, Boston: So, Chiarelli, who gets most of the credit for turning the Bruins around, actually was pretty poor in his first three drafts (An argument could be made that his fingerprints were on the 2006 draft, but seeing as he wasn't hired until mid-July, no one will ever know how much for sure. That draft, for the record, yielded Phil Kessel to then interim-GM Jeff Gorton). His first year with a #8 pick he yielded colossal NHL bust Zach Hamill. In the next year he snagged Joe Colborne who, to this point would have to be labeled a disappointment, until such time as he snags a full-time NHL job, and considering he's already been traded twice. 2009 turned up Jordan Caron who might finally be turning the corner on a full-time NHL career. The fact is, by this time next year, Caron and Colborne might be considered full-time NHLers which would help Chiarelli's case immensely. For now, though, he's down here.

04. DARRYL SUTTER, Calgary: Darryl Sutter is a great coach, but his draft record is...spotty. To be fair to Sutter, his average pick was at #25 which is tied for the third lowest (Just ahead of Doug Armstrong's Dallas tenure, Bobby Clarke, and tied with Ken Holland). But, it's also fair to say he struggled mightily at the draft table over this period. Matt Pelech has turned into an NHL/AHL enforcer, Leland Irving is playing goal in the KHL, and Greg Nemisz has barely played above the AHL level. Mikael Backlund was a good pick, and Tim Erixon is still projecting to be an NHL player, so it's not all bad.

05. JAY FEASTER, Tampa Bay: Feaster had an easy job in 2009, choose Steven Stamkos (He also might not have had much input into this pick, new ownership was coming in and they had ideas that differed greatly from Feaster's), but, regardless, it was a Boom of a pick. His previous picks don't measure up, though, Riku Helenius at #15 was bad, Vladimir Mihalik at #30 was worse. Just think he could've passed up Helenius and taken Semyon Varlamov (went 8 spots later) and left Mihalik and taken Marc-Edouard Vlasic (went 5 picks later).

06. RAY SHERO, Pittsburgh: Shero's first draft was a good one, nabbing Jordan Staal at #2 (He could have had Jonathan Toews, mind you, but for the purposes of this analysis, it's even) but his picks after that are a mixed bag. Angelo Esposito at #20 was a bad pick, though injuries played a significant role in that one. Simon Despres at #30 at couple years later is not paying off the way they expected either. Imagine Max Pacioretty and Ryan O'Reilly on that team instead. Scary.

07. MIKE BARNETT, Phoenix: Barnett was Phoenix's GM for the first two drafts of this analysis, 2005 and 2006 before being replaced by Dan Maloney. His 2005 draft was great, nabbing a 450+ GP player like Martin Hanzal at 17th overall. His 2006 was disappointing, though, getting Peter Mueller who was largely driven away from the NHL by concussions (Though he might return yet) at #8 and Chris Summers at #29 who has struggled to gain an NHL foothold. Replace those two with Bryan Little (4 picks later) and Nikolai Kulemin (15 picks later) and you'd have an entirely different-looking Coyotes team.

08. DAVE NONIS, Vancouver: Nonis was an inconsistent drafter at just 33% and, really, none of his first rounders for this period worked out for the Canucks, but it wasn't all his fault. The sad case of Luc Bourdon is out of his control, and shouldn't really impact him, but the selection of Patrick White was so, so bad that it's hard not to put him on the list. It doesn't help matters any that his one Boom, was Cody Hodgson whom the Canucks ended up alienating, though that was more on Mike Gillis' watch than Nonis'.

09. DAVID POILE, Nashville: Poile has something of a reputation around the league as a master at drafting, but a lot of that stems from his later round findings. Truth be told, he's rather spotty and mediocre in the first round. His 2005-2009 round reinforces this fact, as he had only a 40% Boom rate. His 2009 and 2008 picks of Colin Wilson and Ryan Ellis were solid, if unspectacular picks. But Jon Blum, Chet Pickard,and Ryan Parents were both busts (The former has a chance to eke out an NHL career soon, but was not qualified by the Preds last year and cleared waivers this past year with a season that was inconsistent, the latter two became UFAs and played on AHL deals this year).

10. DALE TALLON, Chicago: Tallon's another guy with a reputation for being a great drafter, but his Chicago record over this period, doesn't exactly bear that out, at least in relation to first rounders. Patrick Kane and Jonathan Toews were great picks, but they were really no-brainers, still Tallon deserves credit for choosing them. But, imagine if he'd surrounded them with Anze Kopitar, Erik Karlsson, and Ryan O'Reilly, instead of choosing Jack Skille (4 spots ahed of Kopitar), Kyle Beach (4 spots ahead of Karlsson) and Dylan Olsen (5 spots ahead of O'Reilly).

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